Issue 32, 16/09/2023 Iran Assessment
“Unprecedented security preparation across the nation”.
The oversees flights, particularly from Europe to Iran, will be cancelled on 23 rd and 24 th September (1 st
and 2 nd Mehr). It is anticipated the cancellation would help prevent any unprecedented school
opening upheavals!
IRGC Ministry of Information has informed the level of fervour and preparation for protests in the
neighbouring regions of Tehran is estimated at 22%. However, it is speculated the percentage of
fervour in Tehran and other major cities will be much higher and more inflamed.
IRGC Ministry of Information has also announced, preparation for patrolling middle and high school
areas to prevent students marching on the surrounding streets has been arranged. It has been said
the IRGC agents will be prepared to deal with any eventuality including threat of rioting by students.
In a joint meeting with Basij, the IRGC has announced the capacity of security provision across the
nation has improved by 10%, compared with the same period last year. However, the improvement
is deemed very small compared with opposition (anti-revolutionary) organisations’ popularity and
resolves.
The Ministry of Information reports that the volume of border crossing traffic has been very high in
recent days. In the highly sensitive border regions, crossing by criminals and terrorist group are more
audacious.
The Ministry of Information has also reported, several groups have been injecting funds to create
disruption and insecurity on the streets of major cities, including the capital, Tehran. The report also
highlights, the funding is not only for disrupting Safety/security on streets, but large sums has been
paid to some clerics, theology students and imams in Mosques and those conducting congregations.
The Ministry of Information has further reported on the recent visit of a delegation from Sistan and
Bluchestan province meeting with the supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei. Many delegates who
were local provincial leaders have attended the meeting by coercion, under duress and forced by the
secret suppressive agents. However, delegates when returned home to their constituencies have
shown unabashed for the anachronistic meeting with the supreme leader and considered it a waste
of time.
The level of people tumults in Kurdistan, Kermanshah, Sistan and Baluchistan provinces is very high
such that it may suddenly erupt into waves of uncontrollable protests. The Ministry of Information
has obtained several credible reports to escalate them up the leadership channels, including the
supreme leader’s administration.
Ministry of Information cyber department has announced, the daily assessment of Mahsa Amini’s
anniversary communications have been significantly high on the Telegram network channels.
